Assymetrical reaction to US stock-return news: Evidence from major stock markets based on a double-threshold model

Cathy W.S. Chen, Thomas C. Chiang*, Mike K.P. So

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalJournal Articlepeer-review

76 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

This paper examines the hypothesis that both stock returns and volatility are asymmetrical functions of past information from the US market. By employing a double-threshold GARCH model to investigate six major index-return series, we find strong evidence supporting the asymmetrical hypothesis of stock returns. Specifically, negative news from the US market will cause a larger decline in a national stock return than an equal magnitude of good news. This holds true for the volatility series. The variance appears to be more volatile when bad news impacts the market than when good news does.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)487-502
Number of pages16
JournalJournal of Economics and Business
Volume55
Issue number5-6
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2003

Keywords

  • Asymmetry
  • MCMC methods
  • Threshold GARCH
  • Volatility

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