Forecasting the cumulative number of COVID-19 deaths in China: A Boltzmann function-based modeling study

Yuanyuan Gao, Zuqin Zhang, Wei Yao, Qi Ying, Cheng Long, Xinmiao Fu

Research output: Contribution to journalJournal Articlepeer-review

23 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

The COVID-19 outbreak is ongoing in China. Here, Boltzmann function-based analyses reveal the potential total numbers of COVID-19 deaths: 3,260 (95% confidence interval [CI], 3187-3394) in China; 110 (95% CI, 109-112) in Hubei Province; 3,174 (95% CI, 3095-3270) outside Hubei; 2,550 (95% CI, 2494-2621) in Wuhan City; and 617 (95% CI, 607-632) outside Wuhan.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)841-843
Number of pages3
JournalInfection Control and Hospital Epidemiology
Volume41
Issue number7
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 Jul 2020
Externally publishedYes

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© 2020 by The Society for Healthcare Epidemiology of America. All rights reserved..

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