Forecasting the cumulative number of COVID-19 deaths in China: A Boltzmann function-based modeling study

Yuanyuan Gao; Zuqin Zhang; Wei Yao; Qi Ying; Cheng Long; Xinmiao Fu

doi:10.1017/ice.2020.101

Forecasting the cumulative number of COVID-19 deaths in China: A Boltzmann function-based modeling study

Yuanyuan Gao
, Zuqin Zhang
, Wei Yao
, Qi Ying
, Cheng Long
, Xinmiao Fu

Research output: Contribution to journal › Journal Article › peer-review

23 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

The COVID-19 outbreak is ongoing in China. Here, Boltzmann function-based analyses reveal the potential total numbers of COVID-19 deaths: 3,260 (95% confidence interval [CI], 3187-3394) in China; 110 (95% CI, 109-112) in Hubei Province; 3,174 (95% CI, 3095-3270) outside Hubei; 2,550 (95% CI, 2494-2621) in Wuhan City; and 617 (95% CI, 607-632) outside Wuhan.

Original language	English
Pages (from-to)	841-843
Number of pages	3
Journal	Infection Control and Hospital Epidemiology
Volume	41
Issue number	7
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1017/ice.2020.101
Publication status	Published - 1 Jul 2020
Externally published	Yes

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© 2020 by The Society for Healthcare Epidemiology of America. All rights reserved..

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SDG 3 Good Health and Well-being

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10.1017/ice.2020.101

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title = "Forecasting the cumulative number of COVID-19 deaths in China: A Boltzmann function-based modeling study",

abstract = "The COVID-19 outbreak is ongoing in China. Here, Boltzmann function-based analyses reveal the potential total numbers of COVID-19 deaths: 3,260 (95\% confidence interval [CI], 3187-3394) in China; 110 (95\% CI, 109-112) in Hubei Province; 3,174 (95\% CI, 3095-3270) outside Hubei; 2,550 (95\% CI, 2494-2621) in Wuhan City; and 617 (95\% CI, 607-632) outside Wuhan.",

author = "Yuanyuan Gao and Zuqin Zhang and Wei Yao and Qi Ying and Cheng Long and Xinmiao Fu",

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T2 - A Boltzmann function-based modeling study

AU - Gao, Yuanyuan

AU - Zhang, Zuqin

AU - Yao, Wei

AU - Ying, Qi

AU - Long, Cheng

AU - Fu, Xinmiao

PY - 2020/7/1

Y1 - 2020/7/1

N2 - The COVID-19 outbreak is ongoing in China. Here, Boltzmann function-based analyses reveal the potential total numbers of COVID-19 deaths: 3,260 (95% confidence interval [CI], 3187-3394) in China; 110 (95% CI, 109-112) in Hubei Province; 3,174 (95% CI, 3095-3270) outside Hubei; 2,550 (95% CI, 2494-2621) in Wuhan City; and 617 (95% CI, 607-632) outside Wuhan.

AB - The COVID-19 outbreak is ongoing in China. Here, Boltzmann function-based analyses reveal the potential total numbers of COVID-19 deaths: 3,260 (95% confidence interval [CI], 3187-3394) in China; 110 (95% CI, 109-112) in Hubei Province; 3,174 (95% CI, 3095-3270) outside Hubei; 2,550 (95% CI, 2494-2621) in Wuhan City; and 617 (95% CI, 607-632) outside Wuhan.

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JF - Infection Control and Hospital Epidemiology

IS - 7

ER -

Forecasting the cumulative number of COVID-19 deaths in China: A Boltzmann function-based modeling study

Abstract

Bibliographical note

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