Long-Term Low-Carbon Transition Pathways

The previous chapters provide systematic analysis on the pathways of emissions reduction and the subsequent economic impact under different scenarios in end-use energy consumption sectors, power and energy systems, and non-CO2 greenhouse gases. In view of the urgency of addressing climate change, it’s crucial for China to explore the development pathway of low-carbon transition. In addition, the emission reduction targets and actions should be reinforced to implement the nationally determined contribution commitment by 2030. While, research should be conducted to determine the long-term low-carbon emission targets and approaches suitable for China by 2050. Building on the analysis of previous chapters, we propose to study and propose with recommendations for implementing and updating NDC targets before 2030 under the reinforced policy scenarios. After 2030, further actions should be taken to strengthen the intensity of deep decarbonization, in line with the Paris Agreement target of keeping global temperature rise below 2 °C while pursuing efforts to limit the increase further to 1.5 °C, study and explore the transition pathway to deep decarbonization by 2050.