Option pricing with Markov switching

Cheng-Der Fuh, Kwok Wah Ho, Inchi Hu, Ren Her Wang

Research output: Contribution to journalJournal Article

Abstract

In this article, we consider a model of time-varying volatility which generalizes the classical Black-Scholes model to include regime-switching properties. Specifically, the unobservable state variables for stock fluctuations are modeled by a Markov process, and the drift and volatility parameters take different values depending on the state of this hidden Markov process. We provide a closed-form formula for the arbitrage-free price of the European call option, when the hidden Markov process has finite number of states. Two simulation methods, the discrete diffusion method and the Markovian tree method, for computing the European call option price are presented for comparison.
Original languageEnglish
JournalJournal of Data Science
Publication statusPublished - 2012

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