Predicting passengers in public transportation using smart card data

Mengyu Dou, Tieke He, Hongzhi Yin, Xiaofang Zhou, Zhenyu Chen*, Bin Luo

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Chapter in Book/Conference Proceeding/ReportConference Paper published in a bookpeer-review

Abstract

Transit prediction has long been a hot research problem, which is central to the public transport agencies and operators, as evidence to support scheduling and urban planning. There are several previous work aiming at transit prediction, but they are all from the macro perspective. In this paper, we study the prediction of individuals in the context of public transport. Existing research on the prediction of individual behaviour are mostly found in information retrieval and recommender systems, leaving it untouched in the area of public transport. We propose a NLP based back-propagation neural network for the prediction job in this paper. Specifically, we adopt the concept of “bag of words” to build user profile, and use the result of clustering as input of backpropagation neural network to generate predictions. To illustrate the effectiveness of our method, we conduct an extensive set of experiments on a dataset from public transport fare collecting system. Our detailed experimental evaluation demonstrates that our method gets good performance on predicting public transport individuals.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationDatabases Theory and Applications - 26th Australasian Database Conference, ADC 2015, Proceedings
EditorsMuhammad Aamir Cheema, Jianzhong Qi, Mohamed A. Sharaf
PublisherSpringer Verlag
Pages28-40
Number of pages13
ISBN (Print)9783319195476
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2015
Externally publishedYes
Event26th Australasian Database Conference, ADC 2015 - Melbourne, Australia
Duration: 4 Jun 20157 Jun 2015

Publication series

NameLecture Notes in Computer Science (including subseries Lecture Notes in Artificial Intelligence and Lecture Notes in Bioinformatics)
Volume9093
ISSN (Print)0302-9743
ISSN (Electronic)1611-3349

Conference

Conference26th Australasian Database Conference, ADC 2015
Country/TerritoryAustralia
CityMelbourne
Period4/06/157/06/15

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© Springer International Publishing Switzerland 2015.

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

  1. SDG 11 - Sustainable Cities and Communities
    SDG 11 Sustainable Cities and Communities

Keywords

  • Back-propagation neural network
  • Bag-of-words
  • Prediction
  • Smart card
  • Transportation

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